David Smilde

Thursday, May 9, 2013 - 00:00
Overall they show majority support for a full audit of the April 14 vote and the opposition turning the tables on Chavismo in favorability ratings.
Wednesday, May 8, 2013 - 00:00
These exchanges would seem to make less likely an improvement of Venezuela’s relations with the US government and the OAS during the Maduro Administration
Tuesday, April 16, 2013 - 00:00
The vote itself does not show that the Chavez coalition has fallen apart. It shows that its electoral block - which consists of the Chavez coalition and independent voters - cannot be taken for granted by "Chavismo without Chavez"
Monday, April 15, 2013 - 00:00
It is clear that failure to counteract incumbent's advantage and ventajismo will become even more important issues in the coming years as all indications are that elections in the post-Chavez era will become closer
Monday, April 15, 2013 - 00:00
Friday saw the latest episode of a tit-for-tat between the opposition and the CNE that has been ongoing since March, well before the short electoral campaign
Tuesday, April 9, 2013 - 00:00
Acting president and presidential candidate and other top government officials have put forward a steady flow of conspiracy theories unmatched by any period in the Chavez era, eight by our count
Tuesday, March 26, 2013 - 00:00
If "humanist-oriented" police reform in Venezuela is able to convince citizens, police officers, and politicians that security is not achieved exclusively by state use of violence, Venezuela could turn into one of the most successful cases of pr
Wednesday, March 20, 2013 - 00:00
Nicolas Maduro is likely to win handily, not because of this incumbent's advantage, but rather because more Venezuelans trust Chavismo than trust the opposition.
Thursday, March 14, 2013 - 00:00
The starting point has to be the realization that Capriles is the underdog in this election not because the playing field is unfair but because Chavismo is more popular among Venezuelans than the opposition.
Wednesday, March 6, 2013 - 00:00
One thing to watch for is if the government decides the election should be in ten or fifteen days instead of thirty