Issue Brief: Implications of Defense Ties between the U.S. and Taiwan

Security Cooperation with Taiwan Riles China, Senate Fails to Block Arms to UAE, Arms to Turkey Under Scrutiny & more

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WEEKLY MONITOR


December 14, 2020

Issue Brief: Implications of Defense Ties between the U.S. and Taiwan

Security Assistance Monitor, December 2020


The Security Assistance Monitor’s latest issue brief examines the progression of defense ties between the U.S. and Taiwan in light of deteriorating U.S.-China relations.

The Taiwan Relations Act of 1979 established that the U.S. must offer defense articles and defense services to the island for it to “maintain a sufficient self-defense capacity.” But under the Trump administration, the level of U.S. weapons sales and security cooperation with Taiwan have increased significantly, as have high-level official U.S. visits to Taipei. A full 37% of U.S. arms sales to the island since 1950 have occurred during the Trump administration, as have the most senior U.S. delegations to Taipei in decades. 

This spike in sales embodies the United States’ national security shift towards great power competition under Trump. However, the strategy’s effectiveness at deterring Beijing’ss regional ambitions remains in question, as increased security ties between the U.S. and Taipei have riled mainland China while adding only marginally to Taiwan’s ability to withstand a hypothetical conflict with the mainland. Beijing has responded to recent arms sales with sanctions on U.S. officials and defense companies, as well as expanding military drills across the Taiwan Strait.    

Read the full issue brief here.  
 


Security Assistance News & Research Roundup


News & Blog Posts

Alongside Sisi, Macron says France will sell arms to Egypt irrespective of rights

Reuters, December 7

French President Macron claimed that France will not condition the sale of weapons to Egypt on recent accusations of domestic repression and human rights abuses because he did not want to “reduce the effectiveness of one our partners in the fight against terrorism.”
 

Russia conducts drills of its strategic nuclear forces

AP, December 9 22

Months before the New START U.S.-Russian arms control treaty expires in February, Russia is conducting war games that include practice nuclear warheads demonstrating Russia’s land and sea-based intercontinental ballistic missile capabilities.


Senate sinks Dem-led effort to block Trump’s arms sales to UAE

Politico, December 9

The Senate on Wednesday defeated a pair of Democrat-led measures to block the Trump administration’s proposed sale of advanced military weapons to the United Arab Emirates.


EU to discuss arms exports to Turkey with NATO and U.S., Merkel says

Reuters, December 11

U leaders plan to discuss arm exports to Turkey with NATO allies and Washington, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Friday, after Greece pushed for an arms embargo on Ankara.


UAE arms deal: Critics turn to Biden as Senate fails to block $23bn sale

Middle East Eye, December 11

After the US Senate failed to block an enormous arms deal with the United Arab Emirates, opponents of the sale are turning to the incoming administration of President-elect Joe Biden to reverse or at least condition the delivery of the weapons, which include killer drones and F-35 jets.


Research, Analysis, and Opinion

 

When exceptions become the rule, ‘forever wars’ result

The Hill, December 8

In this piece from CIVIC’s Daniel Mahanty and SAM’s Elias Yousif, the authors argue that secretive programs like 10 U.S. Code § 127e which are indistinguishable from hostilities or security cooperation require improved oversight and accountability regimes, or risk jeopardizing civilian protection or strategic objectives. 


Opinion Brief: The Pentagon’s Arms Sales Fact Book Is Short on Facts

Security Assistance Monitor, December 7

In this opinion brief, CIP’s William Hartung argues that the Department of Defense’s recent publication of its “Historical Sales Book” is decidedly short on facts, and represents a step backward in government transparency on U.S. arms transfers. 


Deadly Trade: How European and Israeli Arms Exports are Accelerating Violence in Mexico

Stop US Arms to Mexico, December 9

A new report based on more than 9,000 pages of Mexican military documents never shows how weapons companies based in Europe and Israel exported more than 238,000 firearms to Mexico for use by police between 2006 and 2018 amidst dramatic rises in Mexican gun homicides and other violence.
 

 

Data Fact of the Week:

Arms Sales to the United Arab Emirates During the Trump Administration

The graphic above illustrates U.S. foreign military sales to the UAE since 2009, including the most recent notification of over $23B in arms which Congress failed to block this past week. 

As the graphic shows, the most recent package is one of the largest ever proposed for Abu Dhabi. 

Upcoming Congressional Hearings

Upcoming Events (All Online)

12/15: Renewing American Leadership: Shaping the Future of US Foreign Policy, hosted by Atlantic Council
12/15: The War in Afghanistan: Perspectives from U.S. Veterans, hosted by Wilson Center
12/16: Taiwan and the Next U.S. Administration, hosted by CSIS
12/16: Partnering in the Indo-Pacific, hosted by Hudson Institute
12/16: China’s Influence on Conflict Dynamics in South Asia, hosted by USIP
12/17: Countering Chinese Disinformation, hosted by Atlantic Council
12/17: The Arab Spring, Ten Years On, hosted by Brookings 
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